I’m excited. I think a gold bull market is now truly drawing near. Whether it starts now, next month, or next quarter doesn’t really matter to me – what matters is being prepared.
What does being prepared for a gold bull market mean?
I can think of several things.
First and foremost it means having a portfolio with a plan. I talk about this regularly, so here I’ll boil it down. The key is to spread your bets. You may love explorers or adore takeout plays, but in a new rising gold market you want exposure across the risk spectrum.
Large producers with controlled costs for basic leverage
Mid-tier producers with funded, organic growth for leverage-plus
Single asset operators and developers for takeout potential
Optionality plays: large resources that don’t make sense until gold prices rise, because these assets gain value disproportionately once they become economic
Real projects building value: resources in the mine planning process that already made sense but that look better and better with a higher gold price
Top tier explorers: whether pre-discovery or discovery growth, betting on top tier teams and projects gives the potential for those rare but oh-so valuable high risk, high reward returns
Second, you need an investment thesis for each stock. Are you going to take money off the table at a double? A triple? Are you going to average down if a broad market crash pulls the gold sector down? Are you going to sell explorers before or on good news, or continue to hold?
It’s unlikely you will stick to your plan in its entirety but it is nevertheless essential to have a plan, and one formulated before the madness begins. A level head now will have clarity that an excited or disappointed head will not have when gold really goes or a discovery doesn’t work or or or.
Third, I think it’s important to think about financings. This, however, is a big topic – the amount of money that will be raised once the gold market really starts and what that means for share prices, trade timings, and opportunity – and so I will tackle this topic next week.
In her letter, Resource Maven explains what she is buying and selling, and why. Maven has bought into several of the markets best - performing stocks well ahead of the curve. She regularly identifies exciting new exploration opportunities and manages the inherent risk by selling some into speculative gains. And the mine builder and operator stocks that form the basis of the portfolio give strong, ongoing leverage to the rising prices of gold and silver. She has your precious metal bases covered.
"Gwen - I just analyzed our returns for the past month. We had a 36.7% return on our portfolio in one month! Thank you so much for your excellent, thoughtful and timely guidance. 12 of the 18 stocks in my portfolio were recommended by you. 4 were recommended by other MIF letter writers and 1 each by Eric Sprott and Rick Rule. Yes it was a good month for precious metals - Gold was up $50 and Silver $3.90 - but “our" portfolio performance more than doubled the 16% of the GDXJ"
Thank you so much for this excellent Maven letter. Your market analysis and logic is again exceptional. Your insights, knowledge and feel have given me a wonderful couple of hours. I am now planning my activity. I look forward to seeing you tonight on the Virtual Metals forum, I am pleased that you start first as I am a morning not a night person.
I hope you and your family stay well.